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June 16 - 74 new cases (29 in Regina), 2 deaths, 12,013 vaccinations

June 16 - 74 new cases (29 in Regina), 2 deaths, 12,013 vaccinations

PaulieThePolarBear

There were 29 cases today in Regina from 433 tests giving a daily test positivity rate of 6.70%. Today's toral of 29 cases - is our highest daily total since May 26th - is our (tied) 16th highest daily total since May 1st - is coincidentally the same daily total as May 16th (one month ago) The table below shows our new cases, tests and test positivity rate (TPR) over the last 14 days Date - Cases - Tests -    TPR =================================== 2021-06-03 - 21 - 341 - 6.16% 2021-06-04 - 12 - 352 - 3.41% 2021-06-05 - 11 - 349 - 3.15% 2021-06-06 - 13 - 246 - 4.92% 2021-06-07 - 9 - 208 - 4.33% 2021-06-08 - 16 - 283 - 5.65% 2021-06-09 - 12 - 363 - 3.31% 2021-06-10 - 8 - 310 - 2.58% 2021-06-11 - 14 - 342 - 4.09% 2021-06-12 - 10 - 249 - 4.02% 2021-06-13 - 11 - 204 - 5.39% 2021-06-14 - 12 - 200 - 6.00% 2021-06-15 - 14 - 162 - 8.64% 2021-06-16 - 29 - 433 - 6.70% Total cases in Regina are now 11,920. This is 24.77% of the total cases in Saskatchewan. The last 7 days have seen 98 cases from 1,900 tests giving a 7-day test positivity rate of 5.16%. Our 7 day new case average increased from 11.57 yesterday to 14.00 today. This measure had been between 11 and 12 between June 10th and June 16th, and is now at it's highest since June 8th. One month ago (May 16th) this measure was 34.57. There are now 26 people in hospital in Regina. This is a decrease from 27 yesterday. Of the 26 people in hospital, 22 are receiving inpatient care (yesterday 23) and 4 are in ICU (yesterday 4). The table below shows the active cases in Regina, Saskatchewan excluding Regina and total Saskatchewan over the last 14 days Date - Regina - <>Reg - Sask ===================================== 2021-06-03 - 216 - 1,098 - 1,314 2021-06-04 - 213 - 1,079 - 1,292 2021-06-05 - 193 - 1,048 - 1,241 2021-06-06 - 183 - 1,013 - 1,196 2021-06-07 - 170 - 972 - 1,142 2021-06-08 - 159 - 894 - 1,053 2021-06-09 - 152 - 786 - 938 2021-06-10 - 136 - 766 - 902 2021-06-11 - 139 - 760 - 899 2021-06-12 - 127 - 747 - 874 2021-06-13 - 117 - 692 - 809 2021-06-14 - 116 - 658 - 774 2021-06-15 - 119 - 603 - 722 2021-06-16 - 135 - 591 - 726 Regina's active case total is at it's highest since June 11th. After dipping below 1% on June 13th, our active cases now make up 1.13% of our total cases. Our active cases are 18.60% of the total active cases in Saskatchewan. This measure has been between 14% and 17% between May 22nd and June 15th and is now at it's highest since May 18th. It should be noted that it remains below our population percentage of approximately 23%. The table below shows active cases in Saskatchewan by super region, and their total 7 days ago (June 9th) Region - Cases - 7days ======================= North - 189 - 234 S'toon - 182 - 241 Regina - 135 - 152 South - 108 - 165 Central - 59 - 62 Far N - 50 - 73 Unknown - 3 - 11 3,542 vaccine doses were administered to Regina residents . This is approximately 1.3% of the Regina population. The table below shows vaccines reported per day and the approximate equivalent population for the last 14 days. Date - Doses - %Pop ========================= 2021-06-03 - 3,175 - 1.2% 2021-06-04 - 4,632 - 1.7% 2021-06-05 - 4,639 - 1.7% 2021-06-06 - 2,826 - 1.0% 2021-06-07 - 1,823 - 0.7% 2021-06-08 - 2,459 - 0.9% 2021-06-09 - 3,624 - 1.3% 2021-06-10 - 3,598 - 1.3% 2021-06-11 - 3,945 - 1.4% 2021-06-12 - 3,994 - 1.5% 2021-06-13 - 3,464 - 1.3% 2021-06-14 - 2,546 - 0.9% 2021-06-15 - 1,550 - 0.6% 2021-06-16 - 3,542 - 1.3% Total doses are now 222,261. This is split as 166,971 first doses and 55,290 second doses. This means that approximately 61.1% of Regina residents have received at least one dose and approximately 20.2% have received both doses.


[deleted]

Just a reminder that even if you are under 45 you are now eligible for a second dose if you received your first on or before May 1st.


OkayArbiter

Absolutely, I fall into that category and got mine this morning :)


TheDrSmooth

I really wish we would get the numbers on cases that are breakthroughs after vaccinations.


JamesWang_CA

Maybe 8% for only 1 dose, based on yesterday's news conference


sekoye

It would depend on the variant. They are referring to hospitalizations, not infections too. It's tricky to infer from such small sample sizes. Based on UK data, it would be ~67% symptomatic breakthrough infections 21+ days after 1 dose with Delta, but only ~12% after dose 2. Lots of variation here too. For example, the Calgary Foothills outbreak had 11/22 infected with Delta after 2 doses + 2 weeks. Unsure how many of those were symptomatic (ideally, most were caught because of mandatory close contact screening with low viral loads rather than actually being symptomatic/ or highly infectious). One uncertainty is the factor of infectious dose/exposure/exposure route on vaccine efficacy and how it relates to how variable transmission is from host to host (e.g. some people produce massive amounts of aerosol and virus, others have lower viral loads and/or produce fewer aerosols). However, 1 dose protection against hospitalization seems to be decent (but some of this may be clawed back by the potential increased severity of Delta, e.g , a 75% reduction with a variant potentially with 4-fold the severity of COVID-classic is still not ideal) and very very good for 2 doses (92-96% effective, while being 88% effective against symptomatic infection in the first place). *One obfuscating factor with the UK data is their reliance on AstraZeneca vs. our mostly mixed dose/mRNA scheme here. We will hopefully be a bit better off against Delta with our strategy once 2 doses are in arms.


jigglysquishy

That's the worst single day in Regina in what, a month?


PaulieThePolarBear

May 26th had 32 cases.


jadeddog

The reality is that we are likely to see a bit of a case jump with the re-openings.


baggiointurin

Coincided with many people going back to office this week.


jigglysquishy

That doesn't really make sense. The cases today are from yesterday. It takes more than 24 hours for someone to get infected, feel sick, and go get tested. These are people who got infected a week ago.


WellIllBeJiggered

The math doesn't add up there. Probably folks whose masks blew away last Thursday & Friday in those ridiculous winds


mostlygroovy

That ICU number feels good


bearnecessities66

Except that of the -8 ICU cases since Sunday (20 in ICU on June 13, down to 12 today), 7 of them have been deaths.


GarboMan

Right. But they aren't being refilled.


jjreason

2nd dose done today. Longer in the drive through than last time by a significant margin, but I'll gladly trade those 3.5hrs for the peace of mind & knowing I did my part to get the numbers up. Thank you again to the health care workers & volunteers for making it as pain free as possible.


rangerxt

combination of people going back to work or thinking it's all over? maybe just an outlier